The numbers are out, and they are messy. Independent benchmarking from TuringStats dropped a bomb on the sports prediction community in early 2026. The best model, Claude Sonnet, hit 47% of match outcomes with a Brier Score of 0.63. That …

Myth #1: Betting on Favorites Is a “Safe” Bet

Everyone loves a winner, right? That’s the trap. Betting on favorites feels safe because they win often, but that feeling is costing you money. The bookmaker isn’t your enemy; they just …